Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dusan Milankov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dler Sino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lazar Nestorovic (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Boris Martinovic (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.