FaB-Results
Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Viktor Nelipovich
3rd • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Igor Golja (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene Yurin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nikola Daničić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nikola Daničić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Boris Martinovic (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 53:47
Dusan Milankov
16th • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Blinkov (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Tegaj (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Daniil Zhabin (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 57:43

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.