Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 5-0-1
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aleksandar Solarov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mihailo Bulajic (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Srdja Stetic-Kozic (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ivan Blinkov (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Viktor Nelipovich (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Tegaj (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Draw |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.