Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Boris Sremac (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ivan Blinkov (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aleksandar Solarov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.