Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
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12th • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dler Sino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nikola Daničić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mihailo Bulajic (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.