Battle Hardened: Melbourne 2023 - Teklovossen (Sealed)

Teklovossen

18 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Zachary Gardiner

5th • 6-0-0

100%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.6

Diff

70:30

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs corey ingram (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hayden Dale (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Xavier Nelson (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Vincent Lim (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R2	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Eugene C

2nd • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Aidan Ward (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Donald Tang (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jake mccormack (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matt Rogers (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Gabe Sher (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.47

Vincent Lim

3rd • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

70:30

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Luis Henriques (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gabe Sher (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shaun Leow (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Baines (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R2	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.16
R3	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R5	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joshua Baines

5th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jasin Long (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Luey (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Xavier Nelson (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.23
R4	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Xavier Nelson

9th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

70:30

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Angove (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jasin Long (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lachlan Buchan (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R2	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lachlan Buchan

12th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nick McGrath (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jalen Williams Max (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matt Rogers (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Nelson (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Shaun Leow (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.23
R4	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

David Spencer

13th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Barry Luo (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Justin Lim (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Philip Nagle (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.16
R3	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Ashley Minjoot

15th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Robert Hall (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Paul Johnson (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.47

Blake Godenzi

16th • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ashley Minjoot (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nikolas Moraitis (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tristan Sampson (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Hayden Dale (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R6	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-

James Lewis

20th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jaii Nestler (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Luis Henriques (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Jasin Long

23rd • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Norton (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tristan Sampson (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Xavier Nelson (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jackie Rousseau (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jake mccormack (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.23
R4	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.47

Adrienne Morales

25th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jalen Williams Max (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Norton (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs James Lewis (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adam Parker (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Justin Lim (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R5	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.47

Shaun Leow

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

70:30

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tristan Sampson (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs James Lewis (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Charles Nelson (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R2	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R6	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Angove

29th • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

70:30

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adam Parker (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Xavier Nelson (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Ward (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nikolas Moraitis (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Paul Johnson (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Edwin Ripper (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R2	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.69
R6	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Edwin Ripper

30th • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Barry Luo (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jaii Nestler (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Norton (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nathan Bonham (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Matthew Angove (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Donald Tang

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

70:30

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jake mccormack (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adam Little (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Thompson (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.09
R2	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.50
R4	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Nick McGrath

dropped • 1-3-1

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Teklovossen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Bastion (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Norton (Dash, Database) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Alari Arcana (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	Sealed	Dash, Database	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Draw	✓	0.72	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Liam Hussey

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

70:30

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Luey (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

70:30

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tristan Sampson (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

70:30

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Luis Henriques (Maxx Nitro) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Maxx Nitro	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.