Battle Hardened: Manila - Blaze, Firemind (Blitz)

Blaze, Firemind

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

John Patrick Dogelio

31st • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Lopez (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Sean Si (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Miguel Carandang (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Ray Marvin Dimaculangan (Kayo) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Briar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.10

Miguel Carandang

34th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Edward Theodore Bareng (Unknown)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs John Bernard Paragas (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs John Patrick Dogelio (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Michael Cepe (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Albert Miko Mariano (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Richard Malcolm II Chuaunsu

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Dominik Däther (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Unknown)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.