Battle Hardened: Manila - Arakni, Solitary Confinement (Blitz)

Arakni, Solitary Confinement

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Connor Leverton

5th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Josiah Jr Gosingtian (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Unknown)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Danial Faizsal (Unknown)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Dennis Yip (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Carlo Ople (Briar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Bun Ar (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Blitz	Briar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Masaru Yoshizawa

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Miguel Carandang (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Edward Theodore Bareng (Unknown)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Yutaro Sato (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Takumi Watanabe

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs John Patrick Dogelio (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.