Battle Hardened: Manila - Kayo (Blitz)

Kayo

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Reynald Jay Payad

25th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Lopez (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Arvin Jesus De Leon (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Michael Cepe (Dorinthea) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Edward Theodore Bareng (Unknown)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Orlando Ampo (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.79
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jason Oliver Tico

32nd • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Draw vs Edward Theodore Bareng (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Michael Cepe (Dorinthea) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs michael Joseph Villano (Zen) - Expected: 36:64

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Yusi (Unknown)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.59
R4	Blitz	Zen	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ray Marvin Dimaculangan

41st • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Francis Leocadio Legaspi (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Unknown)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Josh Kijak (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs John Patrick Dogelio (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Alexander Rey Sarenas

43rd • 1-6-0

86%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Unknown)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Zen) - Expected: 36:64

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Genico Boy (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Arvin Jesus De Leon (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Ray Marvin Dimaculangan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Josh Kijak (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Jason Oliver Tico (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Zen	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Blitz	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Arvin Jesus De Leon

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Reynald Jay Payad (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Kiran Ganesan (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Regin Kevin Pilapil

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Michael Cepe (Dorinthea) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Steven Chen (Zen) - Expected: 36:64

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jewey Caballero (Unknown)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Carlo Verano (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Unknown)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Danial Faizsal (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.23
R2	Blitz	Zen	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.