Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2026 - Norway
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 6-0-0
100%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Øyvind Garberg (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Vaz (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Reyes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joakim Fugelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tov Hanssen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tore Eskeland (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.