National Championship 2026 - Norway - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tore Eskeland

2nd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs arin rønnow (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mats Severinsen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Even Kverneland (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Eliassen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Victor Johansen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Steffen Bergo Jenssen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.01
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.09
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Kenneth Punnerud

16th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joakim Fugelli (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Hove (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Cato DIrdal

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Even Kverneland (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vajithkumar Tharumathas (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.