Dash I/O at National Championship 2026

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Antun Mesar

5th • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Goran Lovric (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Rajkovic (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kristof Andrić (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Mark Rajkovic

5th • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sven Pavlek (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Antun Mesar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ivan Radanović (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 61:39

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Maniša Njegomir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.54
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Luka Matuška

12th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Maniša Njegomir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Borna Navratil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Miran Sobak (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.44

Kristof Andrić

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Filip Grozdanovic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Antun Mesar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.