FaB-Results
Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gabriel Kovačević
13th • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Filip Grozdanovic (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maniša Njegomir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Igor Đekić (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Filip Grozdanovic
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Kovačević (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristof Andrić (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrik Laprecka (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.