Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 2-0-1
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mihovil Frančina (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luka Matuška (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Draw |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.