Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 2-0-1
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Borna Navratil (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Miran Sobak (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sven Slivar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.