Oscilio at Showdown: Auckland 2026
Oscilio
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Lynnette Nattrass (Briar) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Sean Stanley (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Fai) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Iyslander) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Apanui (Briar) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Rob Davenport (Briar) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.