Calling: Auckland - Zyggy (Draft)

Zyggy

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Collins

11th • 4-0-0

75%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

9.8

Diff

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Win vs Donald Tang (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Marshall Stevenson (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 45:55

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Elliott Nichols (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Justin Cu (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

9.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.95
R9	Draft	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	45%	Win	✗	0.55	2.62
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.75

Will Evans

16th • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Win vs Darryn Ying (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Sam Davison (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Alexander McCallum (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Zyggy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.44
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Darryn Ying

17th • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

5.1

Diff

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Will Evans (Zyggy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Jayden Allan (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 45:55

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Louis Shum (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Zyggy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Draft	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	45%	Win	✗	0.55	2.62
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50
R11	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Alexander Dobler

31st • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

4.7

Diff

45:55

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs James Wakefield (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Arran Beamsley (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.25
R10	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.44
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zak Murray

36th • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

5.6

Diff

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Marie Watson (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Arran Beamsley (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Ethan Holland (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Anthony Balmes (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R9	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Win	✓	0.49	2.44
R11	Draft	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	45%	Win	✗	0.55	3.20

Kiki Labad

46th • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Marshall Stevenson (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Conor Armstrong (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs David Rowley (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Ian Chu (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R9	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.75

Cayle Mccreath

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

7.8

Diff

50:50

R8 Draft

Round 8: Win vs Ethan Holland (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

7.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Aurora, Emissary of Lightning	50%	Win	✓	0.49	7.80

Henry Moore

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Maxwell (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Raymond Ocdol

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Rob Davenport (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Smithy Sarah

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R8 Draft

Round 8: Loss vs Liam Anderson (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.