Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 7-0-0
100%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
8.8
Diff
R8
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs Louis Shum (Unknown)
R9
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Alexander McCallum (Unknown)
60:40
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Edward Kim (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
R11
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)
60:40
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R13 Draft
Round 13: Win vs Edward Kim (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R14 Draft
Round 14: Win vs Ben Dodd (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
8.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
3rd • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 8: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Shaun Leow (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
R11
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Ross Newson (Unknown)
R12
R12 Draft
Round 12: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)
Round 13: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
5th • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
60:40
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs Keegan Walls (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Clements (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
R11
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Unknown)
Round 12: Loss vs Ben Dodd (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
15th • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs David Rowley (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
R9
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Archer Ying (Unknown)
R10
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)
Round 11: Loss vs Edward Kim (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
27th • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Zyggy) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Marie Watson (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
R10
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Unknown)
R11
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Zyggy | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
28th • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
R8
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs Damian Torwick (Unknown)
60:40
R9 Draft
Round 9: Win vs Ethan Holland (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
R10
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Unknown)
55:45
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Zak Murray (Zyggy) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Zyggy | 55% | Loss |
34th • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
4.5
Diff
55:45
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs Kiki Labad (Zyggy) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Collins (Zyggy) - Expected: 55:45
R10
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Mathew Fletcher (Unknown)
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Rowan (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Zyggy | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 50% | Win |
33rd • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R8 Draft
Round 8: Draw vs Matthew Wakelin (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Darryn Ying (Zyggy) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Payne (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 Draft
Round 11: Win vs Keegan Walls (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Draw |
| R9 | Zyggy | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Win |
29th • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 8: Loss vs Edward Kim (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R10 Draft
Round 10: Win vs Jayden Allan (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Wakelin (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
39th • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R8 Draft
Round 8: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 Draft
Round 9: Loss vs Elliott Nichols (Unknown)
Round 10: Loss vs Marie Watson (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R11 Draft
Round 11: Loss vs Marshall Stevenson (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R8 Draft
Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Rowan (Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Oscilio, Scion of the Third Age | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R8
R8 Draft
Round 8: Loss vs Cassandra Hancock (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 8: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Aurora, Emissary of Lightning) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R8 | Aurora, Emissary of Lightning | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.