Kayo, Strong-arm
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Antonia Reichl (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Simon Salah (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Joscha Amann (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Elias David Leiva Peters (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Corentin Guillemot (Briar) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Roy Sammour (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs simon haesaerts (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Iyslander | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar | 15% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.