Olympia at Calling: Liverpool

Olympia

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

6.9

Diff

60:40

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Martin Hechtberger (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Erik Baalhuis (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

R15

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.95
R10	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.05
R11	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.16
R12	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.37
R14	Draft	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.37
R15	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alan Bainbridge

28th • 4-1-1

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.1

Diff

60:40

R9 Draft

Round 9: Draw vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Nathan Halford (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Marc Schmid (Unknown)

60:40

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs David Amorín García (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	60%	Draw	✓	0.60	-
R10	Draft	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.47
R13	Draft	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Mateusz Sass

13th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.4

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Unknown)

60:40

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs James Adams (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.23
R11	Draft	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.17
R12	Draft	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.37
R13	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.60
R14	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

George Jones

34th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.3

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Richard Carr (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.23
R11	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.35
R12	Draft	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.37
R13	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R14	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Filipe Camacho

43rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.8

Diff

60:40

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.11
R10	Draft	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	2.17
R12	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.47
R13	Draft	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Nathan Halford

48th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.2

Diff

60:40

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Light-Barnett (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Federico Chiarel (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R10	Draft	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.35
R12	Draft	Kassai	60%	Win	✓	0.40	1.47
R13	Draft	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Marcus Archer

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Szots Daniel (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jonas Ormstrup (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Kassai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.