Kayo at Calling: Liverpool

Kayo

16 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pablo Pintor

3rd • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

9.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R16 Draft

Round 16: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

9.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.12
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.25
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.51
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.62
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R15	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.06
R16	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Max Dieckmann

19th • 5-1-0

50%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

10.2

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Daniel White (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Szots Daniel (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

10.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.56

Thomas Harle

20th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

9.7

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Michael Wachouschek (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Gary White (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Alan Bainbridge (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

9.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.38
R14	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.95

Michael Vournas

16th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

8.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs James Adams (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.56

Bruno Cracco

10th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

5.8

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs valentin mackl (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.91
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Bart de Jong

26th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Rhyan Bromell (Unknown)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.57
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Sander Neeft

30th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.7

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs James Adams (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.91
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Gary White

35th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.1

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs David Amorín García (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Oliver M (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Rok Havlas (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Alex Price

37th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

6.8

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Carre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Thomas Harle (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs David Amorín García (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.38
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.56

Scott "HowlingMines" Mines

45th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.4

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Gary White (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.39
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Richard Carr

47th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

6.2

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Marc Schmid (Unknown)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Danny Halstad (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.83
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.01
R12	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R13	Draft	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Federico Chiarel

49th • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

6.6

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Leila Green (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Zak Murray (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Tyhrone Bennett (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Nathan Halford (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Daniel White (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

6.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.19
R13	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.81
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.56

James Adams

39th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Peter Markovič (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Bartosz Ziemba (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.53	2.01
R12	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Carre

50th • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Alex Price (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Vournas (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Rhyan Bromell (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

robin gasparini

dropped • 0-6-0

33%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R13	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

5.0

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Kassai) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Filipe Camacho (Olympia) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Jess Swandale (Betsy) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Olympia	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.88
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R11	Draft	Olympia	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R12	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.52	3.13

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.