Betsy at Calling: Liverpool

Betsy

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Giorgio

1st • 7-2-0

44%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

4.7

Surp

11.8

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Mark Henderson (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R16 Draft

Round 16: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R17 Draft

Round 17: Win vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

44% (4/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

11.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	Draft	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.87
R15	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.00
R16	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.70
R17	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.27

Mark Henderson

3rd • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

9.3

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Davide Rizzi (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Gary White (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Betsy) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

R15

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R16 Draft

Round 16: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

9.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.35
R10	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.20
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.32
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R13	Draft	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Kassai	45%	Win	✗	0.57	2.10
R15	Draft	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.88
R16	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Tomasz Żelazko

24th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Liam Holden (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs David Dyson (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Sander Neeft (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs robin gasparini (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R10	Draft	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R13	Draft	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.07
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jess Swandale

51st • 1-5-0

67%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Lubos Vanicek (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs David Alfonso (Kassai) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Kayo) - Expected: 52:48

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs George Jones (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	Draft	Kassai	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R12	Draft	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.