Pleiades at Battle Hardened: Columbus 2026

Pleiades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 4: Loss vs Tree Garman (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Strong-arm | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Benji, the Piercing Wind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.