Enigma at Battle Hardened: Akihabara 2026
Enigma
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs 拓弥 橋本 (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Chane) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Chane) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Chou Wen Hung (Chane) - Expected: 64:36
100:0
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Aoi Koganei (Oldhim) - Expected: 98:2
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Chane | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Chane | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Chane | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oldhim | 100% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.