Bravo, Flattering Showman at Battle Hardened: Hong Kong 2025
Bravo, Flattering Showman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Terry Yuen (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Hoklong wong (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Chane) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Wilson Cheung (Oldhim) - Expected: 49:51
Round 5: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Chane) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jian Botor (Iyslander) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Iyslander | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.