
Valda Brightaxe
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
59th • 2-6-0
12%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 3: Win vs Justin Schrudder (Kavdaen, Trader of Skins) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
12% (1/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kavdaen, Trader of Skins | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Flattering Showman | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oldhim | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.