Calling: Taipei 2025 - Scurv, Stowaway (Sealed)

Scurv, Stowaway

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lee Ming-Han

37th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Zheng Wei Tham (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Keith Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Reynold Lam (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Dale Low (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.09
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R3	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.30
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.70
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.55
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Ting Yen Mao

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs CK Lee (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Muhd Noh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.97
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alex Lo

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Peng Joon (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.16
R2	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.48
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Tracy Reeves

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Jia (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Keith Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Justin Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Oscar S (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kan Ting JoeB (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.67
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.59
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

彥勳吳

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Fields (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Owen Yates (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

柏宇蘇

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs shirui wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Brandon Fields

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 彥勳吳 (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Puffin	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

LEE WEI HAN

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs 諒人五嶋 (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Louie Yazon (Marlynn) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.