Scurv, Stowaway at Calling: Taipei 2025

Scurv, Stowaway

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lee Ming-Han

37th • 6-2-0

25%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Zheng Wei Tham (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Keith Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Reynold Lam (Unknown)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Dale Low (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.13
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R3	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.48
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.69
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.81
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Ting Yen Mao

dropped • 3-5-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs CK Lee (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Muhd Noh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.96
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alex Lo

dropped • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Peng Joon (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.47
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Tracy Reeves

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Jia (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Keith Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Justin Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Oscar S (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kan Ting JoeB (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.66
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.86
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

彥勳吳

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Fields (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Owen Yates (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.96
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

柏宇蘇

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs shirui wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R2	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Brandon Fields

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 彥勳吳 (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Puffin	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

LEE WEI HAN

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs 諒人五嶋 (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Louie Yazon (Marlynn) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.