Gravy Bones at Calling: Taipei 2025

Gravy Bones

107 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Evan Tanguy

1st • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Connor Leverton (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Paul Johnson (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jamal Armand (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Pudding Tam (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Reynold Lam (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Zac Lau

14th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Cheng Peng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Vinh Luong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong

17th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chiang ShenLun (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Carlo Antioquia (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Teddy Tai (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ping How Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nick Butcher

28th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Keith Tan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ting Yen Mao (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Logan Bolam (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sun Yu Lin (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Corwin Benton (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kan Ting JoeB (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.34
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Nova Chan

32nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Louis Glenn (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Cian Yi Lin (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mortal Chu (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Brandon Peh (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Narin Leelaporn

53rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 群戴 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs kouji hamada (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lai Chi Yi (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chun Yu Lam (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ping How Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Oh Oh (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.69
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

kei kimura

54th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs George Chew (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Allen Lau (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jaap IJlst

3rd • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs PH Chung (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ethan Lee (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Timothy Teo (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Chan Cian (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs shirui wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Pei-Tung Liao

36th • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs WeiHao Huang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 諒人五嶋 (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kyrios Mak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nova Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chan Cian

42nd • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Cheng-Chung Tang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 岡西達也 (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alba Sanz (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Justin Cu (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chuang Yike

dropped • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ahn Hyowon (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Muhd Noh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Oh Oh (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Low (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Pudding Tam (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs bill huynh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Kyrios Mak

dropped • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Cliff Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Louis Jia (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs 群戴 (Unknown)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs 秀太栗原 (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

James Lim Jit Koon

9th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shen Mega (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Grosset (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Zac Lau (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs kei kimura (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chu Heng Eng

45th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ting Yen Mao (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Keith Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs KENT Lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Denny Koh

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tabitha Boon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs David Yau (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mok Marcus (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Stephen Cookus (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Peter Bråss (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Eric Dauernnheim

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Melvin Chew (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs KENT Lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs lim jing hao (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alba Sanz (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kelvin Clarke (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Joon Chien Tan

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jo Yana (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jason Lo (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Chan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs GAO ZHI-PENG (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Esmond Heng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Juan Kin Lim

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs CHUN-CHIEH CHENG (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Chen Ming (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Huang Bo-Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.69
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Keith Yong

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Grosset (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Cian Yi Lin (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Liang Hsi Ho (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Johnny Zen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Night S (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Kenji Enomoto

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kelvin Law (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Lo (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Maciej Janik (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Khoi Dinh

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Redc Chen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dennis Yip (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Vinh Luong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Louis Glenn

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nova Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Lung (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dennis Chan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David Alfonso (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Michael Feng

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Esmond Heng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Paul Johnson (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Louis Jia (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Johnny Zen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nathaniel Jerald Bea

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chuang Yike (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Melvin Chew (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yuki Matsumoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Keith Tan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Philip van Donselaar

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Brandon Fields (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs lim jing hao (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 諒人五嶋 (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.34
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tomoya Ohta

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Peng Joon (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs See Atlantis (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shing Tsang (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alex Lo (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Gabriel Low (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Viet Pham

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 林鴻源 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Night S (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rocko Yan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Vinh Luong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Timothy Teo (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.21
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

bill huynh

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chi san Tse (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Waynne Tan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

tim Lin

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Louis Tsoi (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs kei kimura (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

chiu shin kay

dropped • 4-1-3

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs LIN TING-WEI (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs WeiHao Huang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs 奕睿陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nils Klaper (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs CHAI NELSON (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Colin Tang (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs 諒人五嶋 (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Esmond Heng

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Huang Bo-Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hiromitsu Okita

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Nicholas Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Unknown)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs CHAI NELSON (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Eric Chu (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Ryosuke Urase

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chen xi ke (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs sor sum (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Law Wen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Angelito Jr Eusebio

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Juan Kin Lim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs yu lain lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs pilyeon won (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs CK Lee (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jee-hung Su (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs KENT Lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.69
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Anker Voo

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs yau tony (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs 勁宏李 (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Christian Francisco (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Albert Ho (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yongzhao Zhang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Corwin Benton (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Husan Bang Chang

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs In GwangYeol (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yongzhao Zhang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Chun Yu Lam (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Oh Oh (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.10
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.52
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Harpreet Singh Dhillon

dropped • 3-2-3

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Ryosuke Urase (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Ed Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ahn Hyowon (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs LIN TING-WEI (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jaime Leon Warren (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs 吳品賢 (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs David Alfonso (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.73
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Ed Chan

dropped • 3-3-2

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Ran Sasaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs HaoChun Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs 陳子豫 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Bai Chen Liu (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Johnny Zen

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs CHUN-CHIEH CHENG (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Keith Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nitya Kalaichelvan

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Vinh Luong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Isaac Teo (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs CHUN-CHIEH CHENG (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Denny Koh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Shing Tak LI (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.30
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.49
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Albert Ho

dropped • 2-4-2

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Jose Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lilith Duhart (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Anker Voo (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs 陳子豫 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs 奕睿陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs CK Lee (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

CK Lee

dropped • 2-5-1

100%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Lane Thomason (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yu Huan Lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Jan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ting Yen Mao (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs lim jing hao (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Albert Ho (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.67
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

陳子豫

dropped • 2-5-1

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Deitrich Mohan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tak LI (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Albert Ho (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bai Chen Liu (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ed Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs 奕睿陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nicholas Tan (Nickay)

dropped • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kiyoshi Sato (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hao Yang Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Albert Ho (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Muhd Noh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

奕睿陳

dropped • 1-4-3

100%

Meta

-3.4

Perf

4.2

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs pilyeon won (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs chiu shin kay (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Albert Ho (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs 陳子豫 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Muhd Noh

dropped • 1-6-1

100%

Meta

-3.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

0.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Holly Benton (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ting Yen Mao (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.10
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kaiser Wong

dropped • 4-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Low (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Huang Hsiang En (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Neil Bautista (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eugene C (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Johnny Zen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Chan Cian (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nakara Juntavong

dropped • 4-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Lo (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Albert Ho (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Colin Tang (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Lai Chi Yi (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Rocko Yan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-

Sam Lau

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Timothy Teo (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs David Yau (Unknown)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.48
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

WAI KIT LO

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs See Atlantis (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hakim Green (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs PH Chung (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Teddy Tai (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Yuanji Li

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hochun Lai (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chan Cian (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Shing Tsang (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Colin Li (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Satsuki Itagaki

dropped • 3-2-2

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Bai Chen Liu (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs shao qi Chen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Rhasta Chuah (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Huang Bo wei

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Rhasta Chuah (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Malabed (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Warwick Wolfman (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jackie wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Carlo Ople (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Night S (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.34
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

廖皓然

dropped • 2-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs wu da (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Louis Tsoi (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Oh Oh (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Chen Ming (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Andrzej Poniatowski

dropped • 3-1-2

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Lucas Albertine de Godoi (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 林鴻源 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hui Ryan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Kyrios Mak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Armand Miguel Medina

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs rangsiman sriphueak (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Alex Chițu (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Grosset (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Law Wen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.70
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Arthur Nijssen

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yong Yi Chua (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dennis Yip (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Nicholas Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Huang Hong Ming (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Lane Thomason

dropped • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs CK Lee (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ian Lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Unknown)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Kuan Li

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs George Chew (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chu Fung Huei (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.66
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

See Atlantis

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs WAI KIT LO (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Chang Huan Jui (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.70
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Teddy Tai

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ian Lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jan Ray Teh (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs WAI KIT LO (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yuki Matsumoto

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mok Marcus (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chan Cian (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Peng Joon (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.66
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shao Lun Lu

dropped • 2-2-2

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Ahn Hyowon (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs In GwangYeol (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Cian Yi Lin (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.53
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Jee-hung Su

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs sor sum (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jose Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs SU WEI MING (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jan Ray Teh (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Teck Yeow Wong (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.53
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rhasta Chuah

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Charles Chang (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Huang Bo wei (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs York kwok (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Bai Chen Liu (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dino Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.53
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.66
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Troy Benton

dropped • 1-3-2

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Liang Yong Xiang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Armand Miguel Medina (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Anker Voo (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Muhd Noh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Jaime Leon Warren

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daryl Sham (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 林鴻源 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Cliff Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas On (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Liang Yong Xiang

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Troy Benton (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs 群戴 (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jose Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Dino Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.28
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Chu Fung Huei

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Roy Choi (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Louis Jia (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs kouji hamada (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Logan Bolam

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs SU WEI MING (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Chu (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.16
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Jaime Manzano

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joey Jiik

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kan Ting JoeB (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs PH Chung (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs shao qi Chen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David Alfonso (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Nicholas On

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs GAO ZHI-PENG (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hakim Green (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jaime Leon Warren (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

YuDi Chen

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ian Lak (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Christian Francisco (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Allan begovic (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.32
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.63
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

sor sum

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jee-hung Su (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yu Huan Lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Ran Sasaki

dropped • 1-1-3

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Dusk Low (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Redc Chen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Ed Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Redc Chen

dropped • 2-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Ran Sasaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dusk Low (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Peter Ward (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.79

Thomas Neseyif-Deakin

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Teo (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chen Wei Li

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Joel Guzman (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-

Deitrich Mohan

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs 陳子豫 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jia Sheng Lee (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs CHAI NELSON (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Huang Hsiang En

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dino Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David Alfonso (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Kaiser Wong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

"Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sam Lau (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Johnny Zen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

KeDuo Yang

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs GuoShi Jang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Nils Klaper

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Oniel De Leon (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs yi chuan lai (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs chiu shin kay (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.40
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sebastian Rocha

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.8

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Wookyung Park (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Sinho Seol

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ian Lak (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs yau tony (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Tabitha Boon

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Denny Koh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shaun Cheah (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

WeiHao Huang

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs chiu shin kay (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Rati Chiewlian (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 林鴻源 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Yoshiaki Okamoto

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Michel (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs lim jing hao (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.20
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexander Jan

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Waynne Tan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Suh Jaeyong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Marlon Ilagan (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs CK Lee (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

GuoShi Jang

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jo Yana (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Manuel Succari (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Shen Mega

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs shao qi Chen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Lung (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

林鴻源

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jaime Leon Warren (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs WeiHao Huang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

yau tony

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Anker Voo (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sinho Seol (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ping How Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Lucas Albertine de Godoi

dropped • 1-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Andrzej Poniatowski (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs York kwok (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Louis Mook

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christian Francisco (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Louis Jia (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Wei Jian Gan (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.26
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Waynne Tan

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Jan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs bill huynh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Justin Yong

dropped • 0-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Oniel De Leon (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tracy Reeves (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Yong Yi Chua

dropped • 0-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Arthur Nijssen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Shing Tak LI (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Draw	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

York kwok

dropped • 0-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Guevarra (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Albertine de Godoi (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Rhasta Chuah (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

David Tham

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Jose Lau

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Law Wen (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs SU WEI MING (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Roy Choi

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Chu Fung Huei (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Tsuyoshi Kaji

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hiromitsu Okita (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Neseyif-Deakin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zachary Ong

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Puffin) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Donovon Jose Panganiban

dropped • 1-0-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mo mo (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (0.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Jeppe Moisgaard Nielsen

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

0.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Marlynn) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.