Puffin at Calling: Taipei 2025

Puffin

97 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Iaali

3rd • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Joniel Ibasco (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mok Marcus (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs CHUN-CHIEH CHENG (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jo Yana (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jamal Armand (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Alexander Dobler

5th • 7-1-0

62%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chen xi ke (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs shirui wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Zac Lau (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nova Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.78
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.09
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Dale Low

27th • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Peh (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Xavier McLean (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jo Yana (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.22

OWN HSIANG YU

43rd • 7-1-0

50%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.6

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Denny Koh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Juan Kin Lim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kan Ting JoeB (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs haruka sonoda (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Brandon Peh (Unknown)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Evanking Chiu (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.09
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

SU WEI MING

49th • 6-1-1

62%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Logan Bolam (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jose Lau (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Jee-hung Su (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Zheng Wei Tham (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Sun Yu Lin (Unknown)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.31
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ken Kuwahara

20th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Malabed (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Fields (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs yi chuan lai (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Sam Lau (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.31
R3	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.93
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Takumi Watanabe

38th • 6-2-0

62%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Joey Jiik (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Reynold Lam (Unknown)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.09
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Bryan Kong

dropped • 5-2-1

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Zachary Ong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Chan (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jc Kairos (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Yu Zhang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Lane Thomason (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Luo Sheng-Xun (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.93
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

CHAI NELSON

dropped • 5-2-1

50%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Warwick Wolfman (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Neil Bautista (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs chiu shin kay (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs LIN TING-WEI (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Yu Zhang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.09
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Rocko Yan

dropped • 5-2-1

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Luo Sheng-Xun (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kelvin Law (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Nakara Juntavong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Gabriel Lee

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nils Klaper (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Night S (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alba Sanz (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kiyoshi Sato (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ping How Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Oh Oh

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lorence Elison Chung (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Reynold Lam (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Oscar S (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 廖皓然 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.78
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Peng Joon

dropped • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs yu lain lin (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yuki Matsumoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs CHUN-CHIEH CHENG (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alex Lo (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Hyeonjin Kim (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.07
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

岡西達也

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Corwin Benton (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs 諒人五嶋 (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Chan Cian (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Luca Barcella (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Low (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Anker Voo (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Shing Tak LI

dropped • 4-2-2

62%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Seiichi Yasuda (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Yong Yi Chua (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 陳子豫 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dino Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 吳品賢 (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Huang Bo-Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Hyeonjin Kim

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs David Crause (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Cheng Peng (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Chun Yu Lam (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Peng Joon (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kelvin Clarke

dropped • 4-3-1

38%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs 彥勳吳 (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 陳子豫 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ting Yen Mao (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 奕睿陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Grosset (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R5	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.76
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.93
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Yassine Echafai Tripiana

dropped • 4-3-1

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs David Tham (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas On (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs GAO ZHI-PENG (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Eric Chu

dropped • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs logan boyd (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Allan begovic (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Logan Bolam (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs HaoChun Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Hiromitsu Okita (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.78
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Hariz Hamdan

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Taiki Bamba (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 奕睿陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jose Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.78
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.05

Luca Barcella

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs See Atlantis (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Huang Hong Ming (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yu Zhang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Dino Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Luo Sheng-Xun

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs GAO ZHI-PENG (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Cian Yi Lin (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Night S (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs David Alfonso (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

lim jing hao

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Huang Hong Ming (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Succari (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs David Yau (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs CK Lee (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.09
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

秀太栗原

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Weng Khuan Lim (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Carlo Ople (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Warwick Wolfman (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Weng Khuan Lim

dropped • 3-4-1

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Jamieson (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adam Gale (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs 秀太栗原 (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Wookyung Park (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alba Sanz (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Jose Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Chun Yu Lam (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

(William) Wai Leem Au Yong

dropped • 3-5-0

62%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Teo (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs John Zapata (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hochun Lai (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Muhd Noh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs HaoChun Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs 廖皓然 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.78
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.09
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Colin Tang

dropped • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kenny Tran (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Louie Yazon (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs chiu shin kay (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bai Chen Liu (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs LIN TING-WEI (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Wei Jian Gan

dropped • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ed Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Louis Mook (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Carlo Ople (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Oh Oh (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs lim jing hao (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.16
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.47
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.66
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bai Chen Liu

dropped • 2-5-1

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Satsuki Itagaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Cliff Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs George Chew (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Rhasta Chuah (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 陳子豫 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Colin Tang (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Ed Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.93
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Dino Lee

dropped • 2-6-0

62%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs MIN FENG CHIU (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tak LI (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Rhasta Chuah (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Liang Yong Xiang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs HaoChun Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.39
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.93
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Andrea Mengucci

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Roy Choi (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Colin Li (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ian Chan (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alex Lo (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Gabriel Low (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.05
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Arthur Trehet

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Zac Lau (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs CK Lee (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Louis Glenn (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Low (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Oniel De Leon (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Luo Sheng-Xun (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Teck Yeow Wong (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.36
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sam Sutherland

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Chen Ming (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.07
R7	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Chen Ming

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sun Yu Lin (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 廖皓然 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Juan Kin Lim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.07
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

GAO ZHI-PENG

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas On (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Luo Sheng-Xun (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yongzhao Zhang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.60
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gabriel Grosset

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Keith Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jc Kairos (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Armand Miguel Medina (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs James Lim Jit Koon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Kelvin Clarke (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.71
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chun Yu Lam

dropped • 2-4-1

71%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tomas Fernandes (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Steven Chen (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Hyeonjin Kim (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Weng Khuan Lim (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Allen Lau

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Night S (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chard Tan (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Janik (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs kei kimura (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Gideon Law (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kan Ting JoeB (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Colin Li

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hao-Han Chuang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chiang ShenLun (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ethan Lee (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Owen Yates (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.70
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.87
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jeremiah Gardner

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Peter Ward (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs kei kimura (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Suh Jaeyong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jian Wei Tee (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.70
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.87
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Kelvin Ng

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Wang Chung Chi (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Cheng Peng (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Corwin Benton (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Unknown)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs bill huynh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.70
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Kiyoshi Sato

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Huang Hong Ming (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Stephen Cookus (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs logan boyd (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.21
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.70
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Shing Tsang

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hakim Green (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jose Mestanza (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Keith Tan (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.87
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Taiki Bamba

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs 秀太栗原 (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Muhd Noh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Shing Tak LI (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs SU WEI MING (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.83
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

haruka sonoda

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.1

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Rocha (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Charles Chang (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alba Sanz (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.21
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

勁宏李

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Anker Voo (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Charles Chang (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 吳品賢 (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.87
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

CHUN-CHIEH CHENG

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Lung (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Johnny Zen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Juan Kin Lim (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Peng Joon (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.17
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ma Kang shuo

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Galaxy Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Lo (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Charles Chang (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jose Mestanza (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.17
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Maciej Janik

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David Tham (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Allen Lau (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 奕睿陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Night S (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.42
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.83
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Spencer Horton

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 柏宇蘇 (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Vinh Luong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Cliff Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.41
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Cian Yi Lin

dropped • 1-5-0

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Wan Tenjin (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Keith Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Luo Sheng-Xun (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Joel Guzman (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Shao Lun Lu (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Bartosz Dobrowolski

dropped • 2-2-1

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs 奕睿陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dino Lee (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Taiki Bamba (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Gideon Law

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ahn Hyowon (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs ANTHONY LIU (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Allen Lau (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.63
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ian Chan

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Neil Bautista (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jan Ray Teh (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.42
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oniel De Leon

dropped • 2-2-1

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Justin Yong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Lung (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.63
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.84
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eugene C

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 勁宏李 (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Hiromitsu Okita (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sherry Wong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.63
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Isaac Teo

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs (William) Wai Leem Au Yong (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Shaun Cheah (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.00
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jonathan Malabed

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jakub Kulpinski (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Huang Bo wei (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.42
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.84
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Mohd Imran Jamil

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Chan (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chi san Tse (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs shirui wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

logan boyd

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Yip (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Chu (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs In GwangYeol (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Hao Yang Ng (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kiyoshi Sato (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.84
R5	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

yi chuan lai

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Huang Bo-Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nils Klaper (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Galaxy Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.21
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.75
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Wong Hennessy

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Suh Jaeyong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Galaxy Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs wu da (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jose Mestanza (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.79
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Charles Chang

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.3

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rhasta Chuah (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs 勁宏李 (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.31
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christian Francisco

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Mook (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lai Chi Yi (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Anker Voo (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.93
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Einan Dominic Ramos

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Zachary Ong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

George Chew

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs kei kimura (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bai Chen Liu (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Louie Yazon (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jan Ray Teh

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Chan (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jee-hung Su (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jc Kairos

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs wu da (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Grosset (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Kong (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.52
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John Wardan

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shaun Cheah (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chang Huan Jui (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.26
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Louis Tsoi

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Elliot Lucas Marcell Tan (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Michel (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs 廖皓然 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Manuel Succari

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs lim jing hao (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs HaoChun Yang (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs GuoShi Jang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

PH Chung

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Joey Jiik (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs WAI KIT LO (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Peter Ward

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Redc Chen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Rati Chiewlian

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Cheng Peng (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Mestanza (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs WeiHao Huang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs SU WEI MING (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.93
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sheng chieh Hsu

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Yugo Endo (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chang Huan Jui (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Kulpinski (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Takahiro Motooka

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs 柏宇蘇 (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chen xi ke (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Wang Chung Chi

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Paul Johnson (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Lorence Elison Chung (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Wookyung Park

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sebastian Rocha (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Weng Khuan Lim (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.62
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ahn Hyowon

dropped • 0-3-1

25%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gideon Law (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chuang Yike (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Shao Lun Lu (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

In GwangYeol

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Husan Bang Chang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Shaun Cheah (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs logan boyd (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shao Lun Lu (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Lorence Elison Chung

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Wan Tenjin (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Wang Chung Chi (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dusk Low

dropped • 0-2-1

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Ran Sasaki (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs 群戴 (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Redc Chen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Draw	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Charlie Thompson

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mortal Chu (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ting Hee Yeoh (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tabitha Boon (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Chen xi ke

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Takahiro Motooka (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Emmanuel Onate

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs ANTHONY LIU (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Kong (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Peter Ward (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hakim Green

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas On (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs WAI KIT LO (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Lucas Michel

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Tsoi (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

pilyeon won

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Unknown)

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs 奕睿陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Wan Tenjin

dropped • 1-1-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Cian Yi Lin (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lorence Elison Chung (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Adam Gale

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Weng Khuan Lim (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chi san Tse

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs bill huynh (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chiang ShenLun

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Colin Li (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Ooi

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Cookus (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Esmond Heng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Ian Lak

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Sinho Seol (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Seiichi Yasuda

dropped • 0-0-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Shing Tak LI (Puffin) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-

Manson Hsiau

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.4

Perf

0.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

尚規石坂

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Marlynn) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.