Calling: Taipei 2025 - Marlynn (Draft)

Marlynn

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chanon Puttaree

2nd • 5-4-0

78%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

7.0

Diff

65:35

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Unknown)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs shirui wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R16 Draft

Round 16: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R17 Draft

Round 17: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

78% (7/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

7.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Puffin	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R10	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.22
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R13	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.56
R15	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R16	Draft	Puffin	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.14
R17	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Scott Mackenzie

5th • 5-2-0

57%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.6

Surp

8.1

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs kei kimura (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Nick Butcher (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Keith Tan (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

8.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.47
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.63
R11	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R12	Draft	Puffin	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R13	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Win	✗	0.55	2.11
R14	Draft	Puffin	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.29
R15	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yuki Lee Bender

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

7.6

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Dale Low (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Unknown)

65:35

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

7.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43
R11	Draft	Puffin	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.01
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.71
R13	Draft	Puffin	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.20
R14	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.55	2.28
R15	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

shirui wu

5th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

5.9

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Unknown)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Ivan Teo (Unknown)

65:35

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.63
R11	Draft	Puffin	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.01
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R15	Draft	Puffin	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Jimmy Nguyen

34th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs 群戴 (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R13	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

21st • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.1

Diff

65:35

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs SU WEI MING (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Unknown)

45:55

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Nick Butcher (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Justin Cu (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Puffin	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.97
R10	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.55	2.28
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Keith Tan

22nd • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.6

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs 群戴 (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Dale Low (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Zac Lau (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Puffin	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R13	Draft	Puffin	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.40
R14	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Mortal Chu

25th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.7

Surp

5.2

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Puffin) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Zac Lau (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs 群戴 (Unknown)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

45:55

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	Draft	Puffin	65%	Win	✓	0.36	1.07
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

shoma yamamura

52nd • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs shirui wu (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs kouji hamada (Unknown)

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 45:55

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Unknown)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kai Yang Yuen

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

45:55

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Teck Yeow Wong (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Unknown)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	3.33
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nino Chimenti

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Unknown)

45:55

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.