Calling: Taipei 2025 - Gravy Bones (Draft)

Gravy Bones

15 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Evan Tanguy

1st • 8-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

11.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Nova Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Xavier McLean (Unknown)

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R16 Draft

Round 16: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R17 Draft

Round 17: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

11.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.11
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.22
R12	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.16
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.44
R14	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R15	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.59
R16	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.78
R17	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.65

Jaap IJlst

3rd • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

10.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs tim Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Reynold Lam (Unknown)

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Justin Cu (Unknown)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Unknown)

55:45

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R16 Draft

Round 16: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

10.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.12
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.25
R11	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.20
R12	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.44
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.62
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.75
R15	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.63
R16	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

James Lim Jit Koon

9th • 6-0-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

11.5

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Pudding Tam (Unknown)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Sun Yu Lin (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Unknown)

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Unknown)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

11.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Zac Lau

14th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

6.1

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Ken Kuwahara (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Mortal Chu (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

70:30

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Keith Tan (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.44
R10	Draft	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.60
R12	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	70%	Win	✓	0.31	1.07
R13	Draft	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	2.03

Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong

17th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.6

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Nova Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Unknown)

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Mortal Chu (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.74
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	2.03

Pei-Tung Liao

36th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

8.3

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Sun Yu Lin (Unknown)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs kei kimura (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Chan Cian (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Nick Butcher

28th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

5.6

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Evanking Chiu (Unknown)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.23

Nova Chan

32nd • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Alex Chițu (Unknown)

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs kouji hamada (Unknown)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs David Yau (Unknown)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Chan Cian

42nd • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.5

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Jamal Armand (Unknown)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chu Heng Eng

45th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.1

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Unknown)

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs David Yau (Unknown)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Nova Chan (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.31
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Narin Leelaporn

53rd • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Unknown)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Jamal Armand (Unknown)

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Sun Yu Lin (Unknown)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs SU WEI MING (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

kei kimura

54th • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs David Yau (Unknown)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Gabriel Low (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathaniel Jerald Bea

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Chan Cian (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Gabriel Low (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.25
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

tim Lin

dropped • 1-1-1

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Draw vs SU WEI MING (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Puffin	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-
R11	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	3.20

Chuang Yike

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.3

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Unknown)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Simon Lejonc (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Sun Yu Lin (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	3.33
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.