World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Canada - Marlynn (Sealed)

Marlynn

26 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Dreisziger

3rd • 7-1-0

88%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ethan Krischke (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel murray (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Russell Howse (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Le (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Eric Christensen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Levstein (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.03
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Isaak Krut

3rd • 7-1-0

50%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

5.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jeff Whyte (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Henri Veillette (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alex Knott (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Derek Chiu (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Michael Amado (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Brandon Smith (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Adrian Malana (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Victor Mercado (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.89
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.03
R8	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Jonathan Levstein

5th • 6-1-1

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sacha Fonseca (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michael Metallo (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Simon Cheng (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eric Christensen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jeff Whyte (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mat Himmelman (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Brian Fowler (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.74
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Wadley

5th • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lance Buan (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs May Atlas (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adrian Malana (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Brian Fowler (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Madeline Abernathy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Frédéric Poitras (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jeff Barber (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.44
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.74
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Eric Lerer

dropped • 6-2-0

50%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dien Tran (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Krishan Patel (Unknown)

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Aidan O'Sullivan (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Unknown)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Scurv, Stowaway	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

Joe Fonseca

dropped • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Penny Schankula (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David Roehl (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Simha Karsenti (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jean-François Veillette (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Emily Froese (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Brandon Smith (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michael Metallo (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.44
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.03
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Dien Tran

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eric Lerer (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chris Matos (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Eyal Awesome (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Robert Alessi (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Shan Huang (Unknown)

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Lucas Morrison (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Connie Barnett (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.03
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Sacha Fonseca

dropped • 4-3-1

88%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Levstein (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jean-François Veillette (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eyal Awesome (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sean Han (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Chris Matos (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Michael Amado (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Draw vs Eric Christensen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-

Jean-François Veillette

dropped • 3-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Simon Cheng (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mike Buttazzoni (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sacha Fonseca (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joe Fonseca (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Riley Poirier (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Sean Han (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alex Hackbart (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bobby Bourque

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Vladimir Bregaudit (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs nikola marcoux (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Abhay D Srivastava (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Shan Huang (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Matos (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alex Hackbart (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Joseph Vloet (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Sean Han

dropped • 2-5-1

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jay Maillet (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jarek Berszakiewicz (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Riley Poirier (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Sacha Fonseca (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Jean-François Veillette (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alex Hackbart (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Aiden Dee

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Morrison (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sean Han (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tyler McIntyre (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dien Tran (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Christensen (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Devon Wong

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs James Wray (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tyler Atkin (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shan Huang (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Fernandez (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dustin Cierpisz

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Harvinder Brar (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jay Maillet (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Brian Fowler (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jessie Naamani (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Frédéric Poitras (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Abhay D Srivastava

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Shan Huang (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David Wilson (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bobby Bourque (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Krischke (Unknown)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.47
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrew Magri

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sam Tsafalas (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexandre Riel (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Yeo (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Henri Veillette (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ben Quantrell

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jiuzhou Hao (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Liz Waldberg (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tyler Shymko (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michel Remillard

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jordan Robson (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Magri (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Malana (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David Roehl (Unknown)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.24
R2	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Steele

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jessie Naamani (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Vladimir Bregaudit (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Jones (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

James Wells

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Eric Cherniavski (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Celeste Vautour (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.24
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jarek Berszakiewicz

dropped • 1-1-1

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Fernandez (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Simha Karsenti (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sean Han (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Gravy Bones	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R3	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daryan Simon

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Riel (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Riley Poirier (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lloyd McBride

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Terry Chauvin (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Raymond (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mike Morelli

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lukas Maki (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brian Fowler (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Puffin) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Terry Chauvin

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lloyd McBride (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Hackbart (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lance Buan

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs David Wadley (Marlynn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Turcotte (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Marlynn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.