Kassai of the Golden Sand at National Championship 2025 - Denmark
Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matiss Cikota (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrik Kaldahl (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kristoffer Suensen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emil Lohse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.