
Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 2: Win vs Henrik Kaldahl (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.