National Championship 2025 - Iceland - Kayo, Armed and Dangerous (CC) - FaB-Results

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sigurður Þormóðsson

dropped • 3-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Aron Trausti (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Þorsteinn Atli Kristjánsson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39

Prism, Awakener of Sol

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Þór Guðnason (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.35
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.48
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.36

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Svavar Hinriksson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43

Prism, Awakener of Sol

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ísak thomas Birgisson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefán Reykdal (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.