Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sindri Guðmundsson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Vairis Klavins (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hugi Hlynsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.