Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025 - Croatia
Prism, Awakener of Sol
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 6-0-0
67%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
5.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Goran Lovric (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dario Vegh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maniša Njegomir (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Igor Đekić (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maniša Njegomir (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
Round 9: Win vs Kristof Andrić (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.