Dash I/O at National Championship 2025 - Croatia
Dash I/O
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maniša Njegomir (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josip Lendaric (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kristian Čurla (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Filip Grozdanovic (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Round 8: Win vs Luka Kramaric (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Round 9: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.