Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at National Championship 2025 - France
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
63rd • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Fourrier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Valentin Jacqueline (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Charles Tardif (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Doriann LASSARA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.