Calling: Tokyo - Zen (Draft)

Zen

34 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yoshiki Mizutani

3rd • 5-3-0

50%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

9.8

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R16 Draft

Round 16: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

9.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.97
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.25
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.52
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.75
R15	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.28
R16	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Ryosuke Urase

5th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

9.1

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs FUKUCHI HAYATE (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

9.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R12	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.00
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.86
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Shu Murashima

5th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

8.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

8.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.57
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.71
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.86
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.49
R15	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Shing Tsang

12th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

8.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Tariq Patel (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

8.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.40
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.20
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Allen Lau

15th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

7.2

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Ken Kuwahara (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.87
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.02
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Tariq Patel

18th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

8.4

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs David Rodrigues (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.91
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R14	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.18

Eugene C

20th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

7.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

7.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

David Rodrigues

26th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

8.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs David Yau (Unknown)

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

8.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.87
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Hatta Rin

43rd • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

7.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

7.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.40
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.71
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.02
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Li Kwing Lam

42nd • 3-2-1

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

6.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Draw vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	Draft	Enigma	30%	Draw	✗	0.30	-
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.02
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Alexander Dobler

11th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.3

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.62
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

FUKUCHI HAYATE

13th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

5.8

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Nick Butcher

17th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

5.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R14	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.18

tim Lin

23rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.8

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.79
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

motohiro makigano

28th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs FUKUCHI HAYATE (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eli Teed

29th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

6.4

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.91
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

yusuke nakamura

31st • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.9

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs kazuki kawashima (Unknown)

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.20
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R14	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Yuanji Li

33rd • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.1

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.40
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.55
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Masaru Sasaki

35th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.87
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.79
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dev Gordon

36th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

katsuya kawai

41st • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

7.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Viet Pham (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

7.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	4.08

翔太八十岡

49th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.4

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Thomas Li (Unknown)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.91
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	2.02
R14	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Lee Ming-Han

10th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

haruka sonoda

19th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs FUKUCHI HAYATE (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.87
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

TSUNAKI SAWAI

45th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Teddy Tai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs 尚融李 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R14	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

ノブヒサカツバヤシ

46th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.55
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

yuuta nojiri

47th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.71
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.87
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Akira Hanada

48th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

3.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.40
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

尚融李

52nd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.2

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.48	1.87
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Mason Galvan

dropped • 1-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Draw vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs FUKUCHI HAYATE (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.20
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bernardo Cardoso

dropped • 0-5-0

80%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Teddy Tai

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

5.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs 尚融李 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Kevin Octavio (Unknown)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.50
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.75
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Shen Mega

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.75
R12	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

yohei ohki

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.