Calling: Tokyo - Nuu (Draft)

Nuu

17 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Andre Ryan See

16th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

9.4

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Teddy Tai (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

9.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.14
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.76
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Pudding Tam

21st • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

9.4

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Kevin Octavio (Unknown)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

9.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	4.05

"Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame

25th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

8.6

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Dev Gordon (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

8.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.78
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.96
R12	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.32
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.50

Hongkai Guo

44th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

9.6

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Louis Glenn (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

9.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.76
R14	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Tobias Schmiedeberg

39th • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Kevin Octavio (Unknown)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Draw vs Satsuki Itagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.50

Satsuki Itagaki

40th • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs ノブヒサカツバヤシ (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Draw vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.96
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.14
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.50

Wiroon Juesathainrat

34th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

6.9

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Ognjen Sipraga (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Bogdan-Andrei Oros (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs yuta maruo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	3.18
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

yuta maruo

38th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.9

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.61
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.50

Gordon Koh Koh

50th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs 尚融李 (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.14
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.32
R14	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ognjen Sipraga

51st • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.8

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Unknown)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

loki chan

53rd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.9

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	4.05

Chanon Puttaree

27th • 2-3-1

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.9

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Draw vs Mason Galvan (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Win	✗	0.70	2.89
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.96
R12	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

ryutaro Doi

32nd • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs motohiro makigano (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.61
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.32
R14	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Louis Glenn

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

3.8

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Andy Modell (Unknown)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.80
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Takahito Natsume

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.14
R11	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R13	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul

dropped • 1-2-1

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Draw vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.52	2.41
R10	Draft	Enigma	30%	Draw	✗	0.30	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Yu fan Liao

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs yuuta nojiri (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs 尚融李 (Zen) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Enigma	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R10	Draft	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R12	Draft	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.