Calling: Tokyo - Enigma (Draft)

Enigma

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Oh Oh

1st • 9-0-0

100%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

8.2

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs FUKUCHI HAYATE (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R16 Draft

Round 16: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R17 Draft

Round 17: Win vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

8.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.51
R10	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.57
R11	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.63
R12	Draft	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.74
R14	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.79
R15	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.85
R16	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.91
R17	Draft	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.89

Michael Feng

2nd • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

6.0

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R16 Draft

Round 16: Win vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R17 Draft

Round 17: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R10	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.57
R11	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.63
R12	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.69
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.74
R14	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.79
R15	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.85
R16	Draft	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.78
R17	Draft	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Peter Ward

3rd • 6-1-1

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

7.2

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Draw vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Sean Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Allen Lau (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Tansei hiroyuki (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R16 Draft

Round 16: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.58
R10	Draft	Nuu	70%	Draw	✓	0.70	-
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.70
R12	Draft	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R13	Draft	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.62
R14	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.89
R15	Draft	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.88
R16	Draft	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brodie Spurlock

5th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.9

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Oh Oh (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Tariq Patel (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.66
R10	Draft	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.43
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.80
R12	Draft	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.95
R14	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.02
R15	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Tansei hiroyuki

5th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

4.2

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Nick Butcher (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.66
R10	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.74
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.80
R12	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.95
R14	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.02
R15	Draft	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Clay DeAngelis

9th • 6-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

5.9

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Hatta Rin (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Louis Glenn (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

5.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.77
R10	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.85
R11	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.94
R12	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.03
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.11
R14	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.20

Bogdan-Andrei Oros

22nd • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.2

Surp

4.8

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Shen Mega (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Andre Ryan See (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Akira Hanada (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.77
R10	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.86
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.94
R12	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.02
R13	Draft	Nuu	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R14	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.19

Kaiser Wong

14th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.7

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs 尚融李 (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Nils Klaper (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Eugene C (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Shu Murashima (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.77
R10	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.86
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R12	Draft	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.11
R14	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong

24th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

4.0

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs yohei ohki (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.77
R10	Draft	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.94
R12	Draft	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.11
R14	Draft	Nuu	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.20

Sean Yang

30th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs David Yau (Unknown)

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs David Rodrigues (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Peter Ward (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.94
R12	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.02
R13	Draft	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Nuu	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Nils Klaper

37th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

70:30

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs FUKUCHI HAYATE (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Kaiser Wong (Enigma) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs tim Lin (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R10	Draft	Nuu	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.94
R12	Draft	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Patrick Weiss

55th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.5

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Unknown)

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs 翔太八十岡 (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Shen Mega (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Hongkai Guo (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs loki chan (Nuu) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R11	Draft	Nuu	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R12	Draft	Zen	70%	Win	✓	0.30	1.02
R13	Draft	Nuu	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R14	Draft	Nuu	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Viet Pham

54th • 1-4-1

100%

Meta

-3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs kazuki kawashima (Unknown)

70:30

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Eli Teed (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs yusuke nakamura (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R12 Draft

Round 12: Draw vs Li Kwing Lam (Zen) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Zen) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R11	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R12	Draft	Zen	70%	Draw	✓	0.70	-
R13	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R14	Draft	Zen	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.