Zen at Battle Hardened: Tokyo

Zen

33 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Mark Johnson

3rd • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shu Murashima (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs felipe gomes (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alex Lo (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Rocko Yan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Torpong Juntree

3rd • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.4

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs kei kimura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

Vincent Lim

2nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Justin Cu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sean Stanley (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Shaun Leow (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hayden Dale

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Emori Kazuyuki (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Niklas Astner (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Leon Lu (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Rocko Yan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rocko Yan

9th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Danial Affendy (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs kouji hamada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.26
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jacob Johnson

10th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Louis Guillot (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eugene Phua (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Niklas Astner (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.37
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Niklas Astner

13th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs YuDi Chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Andy Pham (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs yuta morita (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Cheuk Lun Tsang

14th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs yuta nakamura (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andy Pham (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs ricky leung (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Shaun Leow (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Iannis Patin

16th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Motoki Soezima (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eugene Phua (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Louis Guillot (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs kouji hamada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daisuke Nakashima

17th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tomohiro Hokota (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mark Tan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.61
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

kouji hamada

18th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mia Lockhart (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nick Pearce (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ken Sawada (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Gary Lee (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.17
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Lucas Ward

20th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Leon Lu (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Unknown)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Peng Joon (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs York kwok (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Masaru Yoshizawa

21st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs kc wong (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs York kwok (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Eugene Phua (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Xavier McLean

23rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Denny Koh (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Leon Lu (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Cu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Eugene Phua (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.99

kei kimura

24th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Shu Murashima (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs felipe gomes (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Chris Brummett (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.49
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.43
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

yuta morita

28th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tetsushi Nishida (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Paweł Rozynek (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dominik Däther (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mark Phillips (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yuichi Oshima

29th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Miles (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs felipe gomes (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs kei kimura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ran Sasaki

30th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mark David Octavio (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gary Lee (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Phillips (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Huang Hsiang En

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Louis Guillot (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Hiroto Takisawa (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Hilmi Halim (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs John Wardan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.28
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.60
R7	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

York kwok

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 満留祐也 (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robert McAuley (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs YuDi Chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.85
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gary Lee

dropped • 3-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bernard Eng (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sean Stanley (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs kouji hamada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kazuaki Fukui

dropped • 3-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Schutter (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs 湧己吉岡 (Unknown)

60:40

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs KeDuo Yang (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alex Lo (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.50
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.16
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kean Onn Lim

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tetsushi Nishida (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Connor Leverton (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eric Lerer (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kai Yang Yuen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.82
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

尚規石坂

dropped • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Leon Lu (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dominik Däther

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Robert McAuley (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs ricky leung (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs yuta morita (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Leon Lu

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yi Jun Loh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs 尚規石坂 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Xavier McLean (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.23
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Mark Phillips

dropped • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs tatsuki ozawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs 島田諭史 (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs yuta morita (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Draw	✓	0.62	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

KOHEI TAKANO

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs 小黒聖也 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs John Wardan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs tatsuki ozawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.16
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eric Nguyễn

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hilmi Halim (Unknown)

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Roger Bodee (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sean Stanley (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs John Wardan (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.59
R4	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.56
R5	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Matthew McInnis

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 小黒聖也 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.14
R2	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.28
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

syun suzuki

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

60:40

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Enigma) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mia Lockhart (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs 小黒聖也 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

tatsuki ozawa

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Phillips (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Zen) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.