Battle Hardened: Tokyo - Nuu (Sealed)

Nuu

21 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nova Chan

5th • 8-0-0

88%

Meta

+4.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs ユウキシロヤマ (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs 尚規石坂 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Roger Bodee (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Mark Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Hayden Dale (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.14
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Ji Timm Lee

5th • 7-1-0

75%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Hiroto Takisawa (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Xavier McLean (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs 尚規石坂 (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Roger Bodee (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.76
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R8	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.53

Florin-Cristian Loghin

1st • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Long Dao (Unknown)

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.76
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.63
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.76
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tsz Lung Wu

11th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.2

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mark Phillips (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Salvatore Calderone (Unknown)

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Shaun Leow (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Justin Cu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.57
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Justin Cu

19th • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Schutter (Unknown)

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 彥勳吳 (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Xavier McLean (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.57
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R8	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

YuDi Chen

25th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Vinh Luong (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mia Lockhart (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs York kwok (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kazuaki Fukui (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs yuta morita (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.63
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

Eugene Phua

27th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs yuta morita (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 小黒聖也 (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs JohnsonCS Tsang (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.13
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ken Sawada

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Unknown)

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs bill huynh (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Danial Affendy (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs kouji hamada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mark Tan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Shaun Leow

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Long Dao (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs kouji hamada (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tsz Lung Wu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.72
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nakara Juntavong

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nigel Teo (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dominik Däther (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Yang Yuen (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Atsushi Taichi (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mark Tan

dropped • 3-2-1

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kellen Rosenberger (Unknown)

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs 彥勳吳 (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs 島田諭史 (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs CYK Lionel (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R3	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.76
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

ricky leung

dropped • 3-2-1

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

35:65

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs 彥勳吳 (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michael Stone (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs German Glukhov (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dominik Däther (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Chris Brummett (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.68
R5	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Draw	✗	0.35	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

JohnsonCS Tsang

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Jarrell (Unknown)

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chen Wei Li (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mark Phillips (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs syun suzuki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.51
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.84
R6	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kento Inagaki

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs tatsuki ozawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gary Lee (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Chen Wei Li (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Justin Cu (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.34
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.02
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rayland Luiz Duarte

dropped • 2-3-1

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs yasuyuki yoshizawa (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Gary Lee (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Peng Joon (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.02
R5	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Sean Stanley

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs rangsiman sriphueak (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Gary Lee (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.01

felipe gomes

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs yasuyuki yoshizawa (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Danial Affendy (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs kei kimura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs 彥勳吳 (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.27
R6	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kai Yang Yuen

dropped • 3-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs kei kimura (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Camden Keener (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Kean Onn Lim (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Deitrich Mohan

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs John Wardan (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs tatsuki ozawa (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Enigma) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.61
R4	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.22
R5	Sealed	Enigma	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Louis Guillot

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Huang Hsiang En (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mischa Guzel Madian (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sean Stanley (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Iannis Patin (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

小黒聖也

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs KOHEI TAKANO (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs syun suzuki (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Zen) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Nuu) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.61
R4	Sealed	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.