Calling: Prague 2025 - Cindra (Draft)

Cindra

32 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gianluigi Lia

3rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

8.1

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Felix Krisch (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Andrew Rayner (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R15 Draft

Round 15: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R16 Draft

Round 16: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

8.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.03
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.15
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.26
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.37
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.60
R15	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.72
R16	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Jimmy Nguyen

5th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

7.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Philipp Schlegel (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Alexander Lukavsky (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Maciej Janik (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

7.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.34
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.31
R11	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.63
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.71
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.70
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R15	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Yuki Lee Bender

13th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

8.9

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Marc Schmid (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Samuel Parry (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Jaap IJlst (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Michal Michalowski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

8.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.37
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Michael Hamilton

17th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

9.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Mario Donoso (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Felix Elias (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Adam Tuček (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

9.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.68
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Ian Zhang

18th • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

9.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Gary White (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Samuel Parry (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Mario Donoso (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Michał Szubski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Peter Markovič (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

9.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.68
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Harrison Deemer

39th • 4-1-1

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.5

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Draw vs Filipe Camacho (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Kamil Kirstein (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Mirko Dolce

43rd • 4-1-1

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Mikołaj Fabrowski (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Draw vs Sebastian Kleiner (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Adam Collins (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Dennis Seitz (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Tobias Reincke

12th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.2

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs kuba tambor (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Rayner (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Philipp Steinfort (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs David Kuric (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Peter Bråss (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Albert Schütt (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.37
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.68
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Adam Tuček

30th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.3

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Peter Bråss (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Andrea Malpassi (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Finn Kleine (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Andrea Mengucci (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Lucas Macorano (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.68
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83
R13	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.25
R14	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Peter Markovič

31st • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Samuel Braben (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Kristian Čurla (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Tuomas Lampinen (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Davide Rizzi (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.68
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alex Chițu

41st • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

7.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Antonio Briola (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Felix Elias (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

7.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.43

Jose Raúl Megías Iglesias

45th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

7.3

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Michal Michalowski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Matthias Kempter (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Davide Rizzi (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Stefan Hilderink (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Michał Szubski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

7.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.68
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Naib Mobassir

49th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

8.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Derry Tong (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Guillermo Regueiro (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

8.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83
R13	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski

89th • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Maciej Chmielewski (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Grégory Lefebvre (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Samuel Braben (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Oscar Magaldi (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Draw vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-

Adrian Słowiński

52nd • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.2

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Ian Zhang (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Lucas Macorano (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Alex Chițu (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.73
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Francisc Loghin

74th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Harrison Deemer (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Antonio Briola (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Stevie Van Overtveldt

77th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

6.3

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Lukavsky (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs David Russell (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Bino Nolting (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Valentino Odorjan (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

6.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R13	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R14	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.43

Bino Nolting

80th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

6.2

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Felix Elias (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Stevie Van Overtveldt (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Valentino Odorjan (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	2.25
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Alexander Tsohohey

57th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Adam Mann (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.56
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Jack Mountford

67th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.9

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Philipp Steinfort (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.53
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Jachym Flidr

81st • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Filipe Camacho (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Daniel Möller (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Macorano (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.37
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Mario Donoso

82nd • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Antonio Briola (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Stefan Hilderink (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.67
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Paul Petersson-Rebelo

93rd • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Jaap IJlst (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Bino Nolting (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs George Velchev (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Oscar Magaldi (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.99
R14	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.14

Antonio Briola

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Bino Nolting (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.60

Max Schmidt

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Samuel Parry (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Marc Schmid (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Macorano (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Jakub Koenner (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83
R11	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R13	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Alexander Rosenberger

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

5.6

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Derry Tong (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs George Velchev (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Philipp Schlegel (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.52
R12	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.51	3.12

Mikołaj Fabrowski

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs George Melissakis (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.29
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Wiktor Woźniak

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Kristof Andric (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Lukavsky (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs David Russell (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Gregory Patellis (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.06
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R12	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Maciej Chmielewski

dropped • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

6.4

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Jevgeni Dubei (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	3.05
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	3.36

Artur Wysocki

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.75
R10	Draft	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Daniel Möller

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Jakub Koenner (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Adam Collins (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jachym Flidr (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.75
R10	Draft	Fang	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jeremy Miller

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Harrison Deemer (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Martin Okruhlica (Fang) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Fang	55%	Win	✓	0.47	3.36

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.