Aurora, Shooting Star
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Dawn DeLozier (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 30:70
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.