Calling: Florence 2024 - Verdance (Draft)

Verdance

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Clements

1st • 5-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

9.5

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Jack Raven (Florian) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Florian) - Expected: 53:47

R14

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

9.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.83
R13	Draft	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.98
R14	Draft	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Thomas Steinle

17th • 3-0-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

9.7

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Florian) - Expected: 53:47

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Bart de Jong (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

9.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.47	2.74
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	3.33
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	3.67

Antonio Briola

33rd • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

6.7

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Edgar Strogonov (Unknown)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Florian) - Expected: 53:47

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Bart de Jong (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Florian	55%	Win	✓	0.47	3.04
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	3.67

Luca Barcella

27th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

3.7

Diff

55:45

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Edoardo Galli (Florian) - Expected: 53:47

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Unknown)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	3.67

Eser Unger

45th • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Unknown)

55:45

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Žan Baumgartner (Florian) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Richard Kruithof (Florian) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Draft	Florian	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.