Chane at Battle Hardened: Singapore

Chane

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gordon Koh Koh

1st • 9-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.3

Perf

4.3

Surp

4.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Silvester Kho (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo) - Expected: 64:36

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

75:25

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Phillip Hadley McKay (Kano) - Expected: 73:27

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Jake mccormack (Chane) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Gary Lee (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32

55:45

R10 Blitz

Round 10: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Blitz	Bravo	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.19
R4	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.23
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.34
R7	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.51
R10	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Jake mccormack

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Bernard Eng (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 53:47

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Abdul Jalil Abdul Malek (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs LEO LEE (Prism) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo) - Expected: 64:36

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Silvester Kho (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Gary Lee (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Chane) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R2	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.21
R4	Blitz	Prism	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R5	Blitz	Bravo	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.40
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.49
R8	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nakara Juntavong

18th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

75:25

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash) - Expected: 73:27

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Silvester Kho (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Chane) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.08
R2	Blitz	Bravo	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Dash	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.26
R5	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Chane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ferdinand Mendoza

19th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs loki chan (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Meagan Montesa (Unknown)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Li (Unknown)

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Liu Youcheng (Prism) - Expected: 62:38

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Timothy Teo (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs C WK (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Prism	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.39
R5	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.48
R7	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Wiroon Juesathainrat

49th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hendra (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 53:47

75:25

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Johnson Lim (Dash) - Expected: 73:27

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs loki chan (Unknown)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Yoji, Royal Protector) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

75:25

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Sim (Kano) - Expected: 73:27

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Chane) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.13
R2	Blitz	Dash	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.13
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Yoji, Royal Protector	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.33
R6	Blitz	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jesus Clint Catan

52nd • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Brian Bicknell (Emperor, Dracai of Aesir) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

75:25

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Cliff Wong (Dash) - Expected: 73:27

75:25

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Kano) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs FUNG CC (Unknown)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Unknown)

70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Jason Chua (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Bravo	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	Blitz	Emperor, Dracai of Aesir	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Dash	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.19
R4	Blitz	Kano	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Abdul Hakim Green

54th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Sran Thongsory (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Mr. D (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Bravo) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

75:25

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Kano) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Farid Farhan (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32

65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Dhedy Hindrawan (Bravo) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.24
R4	Blitz	Bravo	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	Blitz	Kano	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.48
R7	Blitz	Bravo	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Melvin Chew

55th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs (Lexi Only) Dex Tu (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Tatthep Kasetsin (Kassai, Cintari Sellsword) - Expected: 53:47

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Avinash Vellavan (Unknown)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Liu Youcheng (Prism) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

75:25

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Jezreel Olarte (Kano) - Expected: 73:27

70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Rhinar) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kassai, Cintari Sellsword	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.40
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Prism	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	Blitz	Kano	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.39
R7	Blitz	Rhinar	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.