Prism at Battle Hardened: Singapore

Prism

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Masaru Yoshizawa

12th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.3

Diff

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Alex Mearns (Kano) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs M Ramzi (Kano) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jin Han Toh (Kano) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin III Padilla (Kano) - Expected: 72:28

30:70

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Rhinar) - Expected: 31:69

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Wai Leem Au Yong (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.07
R2	Blitz	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.14
R3	Blitz	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.20
R4	Blitz	Kano	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.27
R5	Blitz	Rhinar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R6	Blitz	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.58

Liu Youcheng

20th • 5-2-0

71%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Vincent Lam (Unknown)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Wei H (Bravo) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Ferdinand Mendoza (Chane) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Melvin Chew (Chane) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Wai Leem Au Yong (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Bravo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Blitz	Chane	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.98
R6	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.65
R7	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

LEO LEE

59th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Looi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 67:33

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Chane) - Expected: 39:61

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs SU WEI MING (Unknown)

30:70

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Rhinar) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Natanael Avellino (Dash) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.08
R2	Blitz	Ira, Crimson Haze	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Chane	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Rhinar	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R7	Blitz	Dash	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

rangsiman sriphueak

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Xie Hang Yeo (Unknown)

30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Abdul Jalil Abdul Malek (Rhinar) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs FUNG CC (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Ying Chieh Liu (Briar) - Expected: 39:61

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Phillip Hadley McKay (Kano) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Rhinar	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.57
R3	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Briar	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	Blitz	Kano	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.