Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 3-1-0
25%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Zyggy Starlight
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Núñez (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ignacio Alvarado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Concha (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Carlos Valdenegro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
11th 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Valdenegro (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Franco Casoni (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Fang, Dracai of Blades
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pablo Valenzuela (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.