Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Danny Mesias (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ignacio Riego (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 87:13
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raimundo Camino (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.